Until the September elections, the lower house of the Russian parliament remains less and less time. However, this does not mean that the leaders of races for chairs in the State Duma will be able to retain their "seats", occupied by them for all the time disputes, battles and pre-election discussions. Already "traditionally ruling" United Russia slightly weakened its positions: too many voters were disappointed in the policy pursued by this party under the leadership of D. Medvedev. Anonymous opinion polls conducted in social networks and on forums show a high percentage of support for communists (the CPRF party led by G. Zyuganov and the LDPR (the leader is V. Zhirinovsky) Yabloko, traditionally the "leftist" party, is also in favor, however, its supporters are incomparably fewer today, the majority of active supporters of the United Russia and the skeptics have no doubt who will win the elections to the State Duma in 2016. The stakes are made for United Russia and lose to it and, according to experts, and according to the forecasts of political analysts, simply unrealistic. loss of ER CRC F or LDPR should recruit at least 25-30% of the vote.
Who will win the elections to the State Duma in 2016 - the opinion of experts
According to most experts, in the elections to the State Duma in 2016, the party will win United Russia. Given that it is headed by its "second helmsman" of the country, Dmitry Medvedev, and also taking into account the most powerful funding for the United Russia, it is the United Russia destined to receive a greater percentage of seats in the State Duma of the Russian Federation. Western analysts are predicting massive dissatisfaction of Russians over the results of voting on September 18. In their opinion, the falsification of elections can be the reason for the unrest and even protests. At the same time, Westerners argue that it will be easier to falsify voter voting results in regions than in Moscow and St. Petersburg constituencies. American experts generally speak of a "new revolution in Russia". According to US political scientists, after the start of the work of the newly elected State Duma, Russians will immediately "not like" its decisions. Russian experts, on the contrary, do not doubt the transparency of the election as a whole, allowing for discrepancies between the true figures of the voting results and the final announced ones. Wait and see. The present, the sixth convocation of the Russian parliament, has fulfilled its term. Vacations in the Duma begin after the last meeting of all the deputies on June 24. After that, in September 2016, on the 18th, a list of the new elected people will be determined. The composition of the Duma, elected in 2016, will be the seventh in a row. The current sixth composition of the Duma will receive compensation for the early termination of work. Deputies, deprived of their mandates by voting, will be deprived of these payments.
Who will win the elections to the State Duma in 2016 - forecast
Since today, while leading United Russia, and in the top three candidates for seats in the lower house of parliament, there are both the Communist Party and the LDPR, we can talk not about one, but about the three winners. Even more than six months ago, predictions of who would win the election in 2016 spoke of the same thing: the EP, the Communist Party and the LDPR (in this sequence). Following the top three leaders is Fair Russia, which failed to reach such a rating earlier, in the 2011 elections. Then half of the votes were given to the EP, slightly more than 19% to the Communists, and almost 12% to the Liberal Democrats. This sequence and, accordingly, the seats and the number of seats in the Duma can now change. V.ZHIRINOVSKY actively supports the policy of the president and demonstrates his benevolent attitude toward the EP. Even the skirmishes between communists and liberal democrats are no longer so frequent and not so frighteningly extravagant. Such a "liberal", soft policy LDPR leader can get more votes for his party and, perhaps, drive the Communists out. By regions of Russia, the average percentage of support for United Russia is about 50%. With fourteen parties fighting for seats in the Duma, this is certainly a clear leadership and one step before the victory on September 18, 2016.
Who will win the elections to the State Duma in 2016 - poll
Today, opinion polls concerning who will win the elections to the State Duma in 2016 are conducted not only by specialists from sociological centers. VKontakte, in particular, has registered a group whose members are busy with active discussions of the upcoming September 18 elections, with forecasts, with polls. In particular, all registered VC users can take part in a mini-poll on the main page. To date, a large percentage of respondents support the LDPR. Many "sick" for the Communist Party, EP and Parnassus. It is interesting that the choice of anonymous respondents (not only in the VC) is slightly different from that of experts and political scientists. If elections were to be held right now, the Duma would be definitely passed (the sequence of opinion polls was observed), the LDPR, the EP, Parnassus and the Communist Party.