Inflation - this term penetrated the everyday life of Russians from the deburs of economic theory and became an important part of everyone's life. This is how the history of the new Russia has developed, which has lasted for a quarter of a century. Prior to this, inflation also went hand in hand with our lives, only her name was a deficit. The deficit was no less terrible for Russia, then Soviet. He subordinated people's lives to their whims, forcing them to get up at night to take turns at the store. And now we again hear the word inflation more and more often. Sanctions, falling oil prices, devaluation of the ruble - all this spins the flywheel of inflation. What to expect? Will history repeat itself, and on one rainy morning we will see a repeat of the year 98, when the cost of goods for one night increased threefold. Let's try to deal with the phenomenon together with experts.
The dry language of figures: the rise in price of products in 2014-15.
According to government agencies, in the past year, food prices went up by 15%. In 2015, according to official forecasts, their cost will grow by another 10-15%. Individual products will rise in price by 20%. The above price will rise only on rare in the ration of Russians exotic dishes and ingredients of foreign origin. Of course, the picture varies by region, and the unprotected layers of the population, whose food costs make up a significant share in the budget, will feel the negative effect of inflation. For the rest, price changes will not be significant. Therefore, the excitement in the stores is caused primarily by the negative experience of Russians, and secondly by the rise in prices.
Experts in turn forecast high inflation rates at the beginning of the year. By spring, the situation should stabilize and the rise in prices for food and other goods will slow down.
The rise in price of products due to sanctions
15% annual inflation is mainly a consequence of the appreciation of the euro and the dollar, but what is hidden behind the wording "individual products", in other words, what will the sanctions and anti-sanctions affect the lives of Russians? The ban on the importation of food from the western countries is not. There is only a ban on financing (lending) of Russian enterprises. The inability to use cheap Western money by Russian banks leads to a small increase in prices in all sectors of the economy.
Anti-suits, designed to increase Russia's food security in the face of growing confrontation, raised prices for meat, fruit and vegetable, and dairy products. In most regions, the products banned to import went up by 10-15%. A more substantial price increase was recorded in the border areas, particularly in Primorsky Krai, in the Sakhalin region, where retailers were mainly focused on imported products, growth for individual goods reached 25, 40 and even 60%.
Over time, Russian producers will be able to replace imported goods, and the current rise in price of products in this only helps. The enterprises accumulate the collected profit for creation of new farms, new manufactures. This will take 2-3 years.
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